र.
(← selected work) (research question)

can fifteen cities be read on one instrument, and what does the instrument miss?

Fifteen Indian cities, read side by side on one climate instrument for the first time.

A 72-page report that puts fifteen Indian cities on the same page, one template fifteen times, so that a city's energy, emissions, risks and plans can be read against its neighbours' for the first time. This is what a country's cities look like once someone insists they be read in one format.

(role)
co-author · data · design
(period)
2023
(context)
niua · c-cube · fifteen indian cities
(status)
published
Cities at crossroads. The argument, drawn: what climate change costs a city that cannot read itself.
fig.01Cities at crossroads. The argument, drawn: what climate change costs a city that cannot read itself.
(00) the unit

The city as the unit of account

Cities are where emissions are made and where the data is worst. The report starts with the world's cities as the unit of account: fifty footprints on one map, a handful of them larger than most countries, because that is the scale at which anything gets decided and the scale at which almost nothing is measured well.

Tracking emissions. The carbon footprint of fifty cities, 2013. Asia is the largest emitter; per person it is below the world average.
fig.02 (detail)Tracking emissions. The carbon footprint of fifty cities, 2013. Asia is the largest emitter; per person it is below the world average.
(01) the nation

Two lines after 2019

India's curve runs up to 2019 and then splits: business as usual, or what the cities could do. The national commitments (500 GW of non-fossil capacity, a billion tonnes cut by 2030, net zero by 2070) are made in Delhi and delivered, if at all, by municipalities.

India at large. The curve to 2019, then the fork: business as usual, or city climate action, against a net-zero promise for 2070.
fig.03 (detail)India at large. The curve to 2019, then the fork: business as usual, or city climate action, against a net-zero promise for 2070.
(02) the instrument

A city as a star rating

CSCAF 2.0 is the framework that turns a city into a rating: five sectors, five stars, from "yet to consider" to "showcased successful implementation." It is the first instrument that lets fifteen Indian cities be read against each other at all. Ten of them were already acting on it.

CSCAF 2.0. Five sectors, five stars; the framework that turns a municipality into a rating.
fig.04 (detail)CSCAF 2.0. Five sectors, five stars; the framework that turns a municipality into a rating.
(04) the path

What the loop needs

Assess, commit, plan, implement, monitor, revise. The book draws it as a loop. The loop needs one thing most cities do not have: a data layer they can maintain themselves, which is where the next five years of this work went.

Planning climate action. The book's closing loop: assess, commit, plan, implement, monitor, revise.
fig.21Planning climate action. The book's closing loop: assess, commit, plan, implement, monitor, revise.
(05) the cost

What the loop costs, in two horizons

Reading the cities together was the first step; the second was putting a number on each. At the CapaCITIES Phase II workshop, eight of the fifteen (Ahmedabad, Vadodara, Rajkot, Coimbatore, Tiruchirappalli, Tirunelveli, Udaipur, Siliguri) costed their actions on the same sheet: the reduction each sector delivers, and the indicative cost of the interventions that deliver it, for 2030 and for net zero in 2070.

The two sheets are the same drawing at two scales, and the scale is the point. To 2030 the eight cities cut 21 million tonnes for 8.4 billion dollars; to 2070, 161 million tonnes for 87 billion. Almost all of it is buildings and energy. Adaptation is a seventh of the money in 2030 and a fifth in 2070: the bill for living with the climate grows faster than the bill for changing it. One template, eight cities, two horizons, and now with prices.

2030. Eight of the fifteen cities, costed: 21.47 million tCO₂e of reduction for 8,399 million USD of interventions, 7,243 of it mitigation. Built environment and energy is three-quarters of the reduction everywhere; the yellow tags are each city's total.
fig.222030. Eight of the fifteen cities, costed: 21.47 million tCO₂e of reduction for 8,399 million USD of interventions, 7,243 of it mitigation. Built environment and energy is three-quarters of the reduction everywhere; the yellow tags are each city's total.
2070. The same eight cities at net zero: 160.77 million tCO₂e, 86,532 million USD. Ahmedabad alone is 90 million tonnes and 52 billion dollars; Tirunelveli is under two million tonnes. The template makes the range legible.
fig.232070. The same eight cities at net zero: 160.77 million tCO₂e, 86,532 million USD. Ahmedabad alone is 90 million tonnes and 52 billion dollars; Tirunelveli is under two million tonnes. The template makes the range legible.
(outcome)
A 72-page public report. Four sections, fifteen city profiles on one template, and the first side-by-side reading of Indian city inventories.
(recognition)
Published by NIUA's Climate Centre for Cities (C-Cube) under the Ministry of Housing and Urban Affairs.
(what I'd do next)
Rebuild the fifteen profiles from the inventories themselves, with the data year and the boundary printed beside every number, so the template cannot hide what it does not know.
(published)
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